Bachelor Australia - Season 9 - Jimmy Nicholson - Media SM - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Jay is very front and centre in everything so far, Kim the stylist has just posted about 8 night one shots, and the front picture is Jay.
Will be interesting to see you if she gets the classic F1 edit of big entry on night 1, then on the back burner for a couple of eps, while keeping her nose clean of all the drama before an ep 4 single date starts her story rolling.

Jay's housemate is excited.  Note he said 'to the top'.


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Agent99 wrote:Jay's housemate is excited.  

You can say that again.  

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TPTB will have to quarantine housemates IGs next year as well.  

That dress is seriously       Maybe that's why they varied the usual placement (if she's F1)?  Who's the designer anyone know?  They might have demanded a front and centre spot for loaning Ch 10 the dress

ETA:  Answering my own question, it's a US brand, haven't found the exact dress yet but looks pricey.  And look who the accessories are by I could certainly see her demanding her stuff appear front & centre on the potential winner.  



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"Amarni Mini" $1463.  On Ch 10's budget?  Dayum.  Congrats on the win Jay.  



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Here it comes guys.  Sportsbet have added a link for the Bach market - odds not yet visible but it won't be long...



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Well this is interesting.  They have Holly as F1 but 5.0 is not the usual winner's odds.   Intruder incoming?





Jay can't possibly be the winner at those odds IMO so I was wrong but at least she got the good dress.

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ETA: WAIT! WTF is this? Did Jimmy do a Mesnick?



Multiple commitments. Does not include reunion specials. In which case, Jay is back in the running...

So I'm thinking maybe at the FRC Jimmy says he needs more time to make his decision, which would count as a dead heat rendering Holly's generous 5.0 odds moot.  Then he commits to F1 in a post-show reunion special, for which Sbet will probably run a two-girl market at the time.  Where is everyone I need opinions here.  

What was the most challenging part of your Bachelor experience? The finale was definitely the hardest for me, because one minute you are breaking someone's heart, and then the next minute you are overwhelmed with joy. That was really tough. I was a bit rattled for a few days. But we did some amazing things. I met some amazing women and we went on some awesome dates, things that you can't normally do in the real world. wrote:

https://www.mtv.com.au/news/ffkrwx/jimmy-nicholson-new-bachelor-australia-interview

I don’t know if they’d be selling it as love love if he does pull a mesnick.

Do they sometimes change the odds after the first episode airs?

@Bobette, I am surprised that Holly has the lowest odd. I have learnt not to go against what Sportsbet puts out but it seems TPTB pretty much gave it away then if it’s Holly based on sleuthing you all have done. Very weird though they would go for an obvious edit since the last one I recollect was Sam Frost’s Bette season.

Hmm interesting.  Maybe Sportsbet just doesn't know yet.  They haven't had a market at all before this, which is interesting in itself.  I'm guessing the odds will change.  But I'm going to go over the s/caps with a fine tooth comb just in case there is an intruder .

Yeah I agree @Zaynab, if he'd chosen an F1 then swapped the odds would still count and the winner would still be clear so that disclaimer plus Holly's 5.0 definitely points to a post-FRC decision IMO.  

The only time odds have changed significantly was when intruder Stu won.  We thought at the time it was suss because the person with the shortest odds at the start of the season (Luke) had odds of about 6.0 which is just way too high for an F1 (usually <1.5).

The lack of age/state/hair market is even more suss now.  I'm wondering if this storyline was planned from the start with Holly the actress brought in with full knowledge of how things would play out.  

mercieme wrote:@Bobette, I am surprised that Holly has the lowest odd. I have learnt not to go against what Sportsbet puts out but it seems TPTB pretty much gave it away then if it’s Holly based on sleuthing you all have done. Very weird though they would go for an obvious edit since the last one I recollect was Sam Frost’s Bette season.

Yes Sportsbet is never wrong but those disclaimers are very specific - it's definitely not going to be a normal ending IMO and @Agent99 I'm sure they do know - if not they just wouldn't run a market rather than risk having to pay out on an unknown result IMO.

Things just got interesting.  

Odds have changed already. Holly at 3.00.

Agent99 wrote:Odds have changed already.  Holly at 3.00.

I wonder if that's because she's so visible in the trailer at Uluru.  Lots of people thinking she's a sure thing, lured into placing bets at 5.0-3.0 then BAM suckers, Dead Heat, no payout for you (though I think bets are refunded?).  

Then Sportsbet release a two horse market for the final 2, to be decided at a post-show reunion, everyone re-places their bets, winner's odds probably around 1.03 or something similarly pathetic and Sportsbet profits, as always.