Bachelor Australia - Matt Agnew - Season 7 - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

SpoilerAlert wrote:Initial markets are released based on rumors and leaks...

Wrong, IMO.  The markets are not based on "rumours".  They have a source who tells them who wins; it's that simple, IMO.  They practically admit that with their disclaimer "the result may be known in advance".  

Feel free to go back through our archives where you will see that the Sportsbet figures have been used to correctly predict the winner every season.  They even correctly predicted that Nick would pick no one.

SpoilerAlert wrote:I’m not sure exactly how much im allowed to spoil on here without ruining the show for you guys.

The winner is known and small pocket of people from the area she is from know this. However this seems to be spreading rather quickly now.

you can write IMO i think looking at sportsbet the F1 is ......????  or PM me who u think it is

Yes a source who tells them who wins = a leak, . Rumors on top of that then drive the other contestants markets .

SpoilerAlert wrote:I’m not sure exactly how much im allowed to spoil on here without ruining the show for you guys.

The winner is known and small pocket of people from the area she is from know this. However this seems to be spreading rather quickly now.

If you have read through the threads then you'll realize that this is a site devoted almost exclusively to figuring out who the winner is and spoiling ourselves. I think you're safe, so, please,by all means, tell us.

SpoilerAlert wrote:I’m not sure exactly how much im allowed to spoil on here without ruining the show for you guys.

Yes, do tell.  This is a spoiler forum.  Can't speak for everyone but I don't even really enjoy the show - I just like to know who wins before everyone else.  

We have plenty of other evidence ruling people in or out, so if your info checks out in comparison to that, you'll be saving us a lot of time chasing the wrong girls.

Also, if you don't tell now, I for one will assume you're a plant from production or Sportsbet sent here to throw us off the scent.  So spill it, please, Spoilers.  

Bobette wrote:

SpoilerAlert wrote:I’m not sure exactly how much im allowed to spoil on here without ruining the show for you guys.

Yes, do tell.  This is a spoiler forum.  Can't speak for everyone but I don't even really enjoy the show - I just like to know who wins before everyone else.  

We have plenty of other evidence ruling people in or out, so if your info checks out in comparison to that, you'll be saving us a lot of time chasing the wrong girls.

Also, if you don't tell now, I for one will assume you're a plant from production or Sportsbet sent here to throw us off the scent.  So spill it, please, Spoilers.  

PM Leap of Faith

SpoilerAlert wrote:

Bobette wrote:

SpoilerAlert wrote:I’m not sure exactly how much im allowed to spoil on here without ruining the show for you guys.

Yes, do tell.  This is a spoiler forum.  Can't speak for everyone but I don't even really enjoy the show - I just like to know who wins before everyone else.  

We have plenty of other evidence ruling people in or out, so if your info checks out in comparison to that, you'll be saving us a lot of time chasing the wrong girls.

Also, if you don't tell now, I for one will assume you're a plant from production or Sportsbet sent here to throw us off the scent.  So spill it, please, Spoilers.  

PM Leap of Faith

Could you PM me please? Thanks in advance.

Better yet, just post it in the open forum. No one visiting this site is going to feel like the show is "ruined" if they know the outcome.  That's why we're here.

A little birdie whispered in my friends ear, who whispered in my ear that the F1's name starts with C. Nothing more, nothing less, so make of that what you will  

Dirty Street Pie wrote:A little birdie whispered in my friends ear, who whispered in my ear that the F1's name starts with C. Nothing more, nothing less, so make of that what you will

 
Thank you, "Dirty Street Pie". 

It occurs to me that, were said Birdie sent by TPTB/Sbet to throw us off the scent, that is exactly what I'd expect them to say, since IMO they want all eyes to currently be on Chelsea.

For TPTB to be foregrounding F1 so heavily before the show - in promos, on social media, in DM articles etc - would go against their handling of F1 in every other season.  Not just AU but internationally.

So either TPTB decided to throw the rule book out the window and hide F1 in plain sight, or something's fishy.  And "C" is suitably vague.  We still have a few girls yet to be named....

Bobette wrote:

Dirty Street Pie wrote:A little birdie whispered in my friends ear, who whispered in my ear that the F1's name starts with C. Nothing more, nothing less, so make of that what you will

 
Thank you, "Dirty Street Pie". 

It occurs to me that, were said Birdie sent by TPTB/Sbet to throw us off the scent, that is exactly what I'd expect them to say, since IMO they want all eyes to currently be on Chelsea.

For TPTB to be foregrounding F1 so heavily before the show - in promos, on social media, in DM articles etc - would go against their handling of F1 in every other season.  Not just AU but internationally.

So either TPTB decided to throw the rule book out the window and hide F1 in plain sight, or something's fishy.  And "C" is suitably vague.  We still have a few girls yet to be named....

I agree with every word. Very astute. And it occurs to me that if Sportsbets wants to hold onto as much of your money as long as possible, then F2 would be the perfect low odds+high max bet combo to draw money in. Especially if F1 hasn't been revealed in the cast yet and therefore wouldn't have betting odds yet . That way, they won't even have to pay it out at all whereas with F1, they would eventually have to pay that money out.

Uh huh yep and so Sportsbet have now apparently leaked the outcome to the whole world:

 Sportsbet kindly sent Mamamia an email letting us know that if the select few people who know who wins The Bachelor (family, friends, dodgy producers etc) have placed bets, then it’s very likely the winner of The Bachelor Australia 2019 is a lady named Chelsie.

In the promos [...] Chelsie apparently gives him a temporary tattoo of a love hormone. This is just the tip of the iceberg, we can’t wait until things hot up when the ladies go into battle for a rose,’’ Sportsbet's Rich Hummerston commented

Source

I'm not suspicious of this at all.  Nope.  Not one bit.  Not me. 

ETA:  Can we all just please pause for a moment to appreciate the fact that Sportsbet's informer is "RICH" Hummerston.