SELECT CONTENT

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Page 9 of 15 Previous  1 ... 6 ... 8, 9, 10 ... 15  Next

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Bobette Sat Aug 25, 2018 2:48 am

Dirty Street Pie wrote:Sportsbet are VERY confident in Britt. Her max bet is still $200, which gives a return of $320, while Brooke and Sophie’s max is $500, giving a return of $1750 for Brooke and $2000 for Sophie.

They convinced me a long time ago. My only question now is whether Nick & Britt are still together. Maybe SB can open a market for that. cantstopl
Bobette
Bobette

Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by LeapofFaith Sat Aug 25, 2018 2:53 am

I want to know why Brooke is in second place? Surely they have enough proof Sophie is in f2??
LeapofFaith
LeapofFaith

Posts : 4416
Join date : 2016-08-14

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Bobette Sat Aug 25, 2018 3:09 am

LeapofFaith wrote:I want to know why Brooke is in second place? Surely they have enough proof Sophie is in f2??

Because the odds for anyone other than F1 don't matter.  

They only have to pay out for a winner.  It's not like a horserace where they also pay for second, third etc.  So they could theoretically have Vanessa Sunshine in second place at 1.65, or Sophie in last place at 500.00 - it wouldn't matter to Sportsbet, because they're not going to be paying out on those places.  The odds for F2 down are purely for show.  They are essentially trying to trick people into placing bets, so they can make more profit.  

So they work out odds that seem believable, to lure in punters.  At the moment, if you were only watching the show without doing external research, Brooke would seem like a front runner, so they make her odds seem like she COULD be the winner.  That's also why the max bets for everyone other than F1 is so much higher - they want people to place BIG bets on the "losers" because that's cash in their pockets.  It's all a big mind game.
Bobette
Bobette

Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Bobette Mon Aug 27, 2018 1:39 am

Zaynab wrote:https://twitter.com/ladbrokescomau/status/1029585978363707392
i just saw this tweet of a betting site on whether Nick will propose, I guess we will see if sportsbet adds that as an option to bet on.




Full list of odds:

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 1tXAE7v

Source

Sportsbet also dropping further:

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Q6rLlHa

Source
Bobette
Bobette

Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Sundy Mon Aug 27, 2018 8:01 am

Different betting agency but look at the odds.

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 F470c610
Sundy
Sundy

Female Posts : 5893
Join date : 2014-09-29

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Bobette Tue Aug 28, 2018 2:55 am

28/08:  Britt's Sportsbet odds now at 1.45.  How low can she go.... laugh out loud
Bobette
Bobette

Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Bobette Mon Sep 03, 2018 7:42 am

Gotta love Sportsbet releasing odds for the intruders even though they've had practically zero screentime so far.

They could at least pretend there's some kind of rationale for their figures besides insider knowledge of who wins. laugh out loud

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 3Sk7WaJ

Source
Bobette
Bobette

Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by LeapofFaith Mon Sep 03, 2018 7:15 pm

why has Brittany gone up to $1.80? was she not $1.45 laugh out loud i don't know if i have ever seen that before??
LeapofFaith
LeapofFaith

Posts : 4416
Join date : 2016-08-14

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Idlemess Mon Sep 03, 2018 7:49 pm

Hypothetically what happens if Britt is not the F1?


The truth is rarely pure and never simple ~ Oscar Wilde Praying:uptonogood
Idlemess
Idlemess

Female Posts : 3447
Join date : 2011-05-29
Location : New York

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Bobette Mon Sep 03, 2018 8:34 pm

LeapofFaith wrote:why has Brittany gone up to $1.80? was she not $1.45 laugh out loud i don't know if i have ever seen that before??

Two reasons IMO:  

Either

- Not as many bets placed on her last week since she got so little screentime and people forgot about her;

Or

- They've dropped her max bet to a level where the overall max loss is still exactly the same, or even less.

The max bet as calculated upthread by @Dirty Street Pie was previously $200 at odds of 1.60, giving a max loss of $320 (200 x 1.6).  If, hypothetically, they've dropped her max bet to $180 at 1.80, that would make a max loss of $324 - practically the same.  If they've dropped the max bet even further, that would make her even MORE of a favourite, e.g a max bet of $150 at the current odds of 1.80 would be a loss of $270 - less of a loss for Sportsbet than when the odds were 1.60, i.e they are even MORE confident she wins.  Does that make sense?

I don't have an account so can't check the max loss, but I suspect that's what they've done.
Bobette
Bobette

Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by LeapofFaith Mon Sep 03, 2018 8:41 pm

Bobette wrote:
LeapofFaith wrote:why has Brittany gone up to $1.80? was she not $1.45 laugh out loud i don't know if i have ever seen that before??

Two reasons IMO:  

Either

- Not as many bets placed on her last week since she got so little screentime and people forgot about her;

Or

- They've dropped her max bet to a level where the overall max loss is still exactly the same, or even less.

The max bet as calculated upthread by @Dirty Street Pie was previously $200 at odds of 1.60, giving a max loss of $320 (200 x 1.6).  If, hypothetically, they've dropped her max bet to $180 at 1.80, that would make a max loss of $324 - practically the same.  If they've dropped the max bet even further, that would make her even MORE of a favourite, e.g a max bet of $150 at the current odds of 1.80 would be a loss of $270 - less of a loss for Sportsbet than when the odds were 1.60, i.e they are even MORE confident she wins.  Does that make sense?

I don't have an account so can't check the max loss, but I suspect that's what they've done.

Thanks yes SB always makes me dizzy scratch laugh out loud
LeapofFaith
LeapofFaith

Posts : 4416
Join date : 2016-08-14

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Bobette Mon Sep 03, 2018 10:00 pm

No worries.  I've never been a betting woman but I find the statistics and mind games of it all very fascinating.  

Maybe I was a bookie in a past life.  Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 3806527698
Bobette
Bobette

Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3

Back to top Go down

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers* - Page 9 Empty Re: Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

Post by Sponsored content


Sponsored content


Back to top Go down

Page 9 of 15 Previous  1 ... 6 ... 8, 9, 10 ... 15  Next

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

Bachelor Australia Season 6 - Nick Cummins - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

+10
LeapofFaith
spangler
Storybook
Loulou
Idlemess
Dirty Street Pie
Sundy
Bobette
GuardianAngel
AllAboutLove
14 posters
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum