Bachelor 22 - Arie Luyendyk Jr - SM Media - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

When are we making threads for guessing F4, etc?

@GuardianAngel I know the contestants don't but it is strange that about the time it has to be discussed with Arie sm accounts are changing with some girls still there

@mprssdbyu IA it's strange and not something to ignore.

I will create F1-F4 threads shortly.

GuardianAngel wrote:@mprssdbyu they don't notify family, production sets that all up. This is known from my personal experience communicating with several family members as well as those who were told of a possible HTD which never ended up happening.

We have heard so often, they don't have phones for all those weeks, they get bored, emotions run wild etc, I can't see them having their phones now either. They can log into Elan's phone, and deactivate their accounts as an example.

I think there are so many girls who we don’t know the status of. I’m going on the assumption a deactivation means an elimination although that might not be the case. I would be happy if Chelsea was still there. I just don’t see it unless production had her take down her FB. It just makes it stand out more, though.

So little is known about Annaleise for example and she has intrigued me. So have Caroline, Marikh and Seinne. Ari sure is a lucky man to have this group of woman to choose from. At least on paper they are beautiful; I hope the personalities match.

sportsgirl76 wrote:

mprssdbyu wrote:

CamiLane 11 wrote:That is true but going off past seasons it's likely that Lauren B got a rose on her date. At least on the bachelor that has been consistent for episode 6.. There has been no sign of her on SM at all. Danielle maltby got eliminated on her 1 on 1 episode 7 not 6. We will just have to wait and see what happens. They will start filming HTD's on Wednesday most likely.

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Which episode was it that Danielle L got eliminated during her second ID. Nothing is really ever a bigger piece of the puzzle  than Epi 2 and 3( IMO )ID. It really depends on TB journey.

I think Danielle M. had the first date and then got eliminated in episode 7.

Danielle L. had the date after the Back Street Boys concert and then got sent home on the 2-On-1.

Had to respond as your resident stats girl on the case....It's true, Danielle M had her 2nd ID in epi 7 and got eliminated in epi 7. Went back to season 15 to find the last person that had an ID in epi 6 and was eliminated on epi 6. IMO, Lauren B may of had her 2nd date in epi 6 as have other F3's or F4's have. In past seasons 14, 16, 17, 20, all F3's/F4's have had their 2nd ID and stayed.

GuardianAngel wrote:@mprssdbyu they don't notify family, production sets that all up. This is known from my personal experience communicating with several family members as well as those who were told of a possible HTD which never ended up happening.

We have heard so often, they don't have phones for all those weeks, they get bored, emotions run wild etc, I can't see them having their phones now either. They can log into Elan's phone, and deactivate their accounts as an example.

I think there are so many girls who we don’t know the status of. I’m going on the assumption a deactivation means an elimination although that might not be the case. I would be happy if Chelsea was still there. I just don’t see it unless production had her take down her FB. It just makes it stand out more, though.

So little is known about Annaleise for example and she has intrigued me. So have Caroline, Marikh and Seinne. Ari sure is a lucky man to have this group of woman to choose from. At least on paper they are beautiful; I hope the personalities match.

Aunties_Love wrote:

sportsgirl76 wrote:

mprssdbyu wrote:
Which episode was it that Danielle L got eliminated during her second ID. Nothing is really ever a bigger piece of the puzzle  than Epi 2 and 3( IMO )ID. It really depends on TB journey.

I think Danielle M. had the first date and then got eliminated in episode 7.

Danielle L. had the date after the Back Street Boys concert and then got sent home on the 2-On-1.

Had to respond as your resident stats girl on the case....It's true, Danielle M had her 2nd ID in epi 7 and got eliminated in epi 7.  Went back to season 15 to find the last person that had an ID in epi 6 and was eliminated on epi 6.  IMO, Lauren B may of had her 2nd date in epi 6 as have other F3's or F4's have.  In past seasons 14, 16, 17, 20, all F3's/F4's have had their 2nd ID and stayed.

Thank you so much!! Your memory is fantastic!

If we just knew who was on other  Epi 3 group date! We know at least two who very likely did not get ID. Caroline and Jenna Cooper

mprssdbyu wrote:If we just knew who was on other  Epi 3 group date! We know at least two who very likely did not get ID. Caroline and Jenna Cooper

Hmm. Based on Auntie Love’s chart, it could have been Annaliese, Bekah M., Marikh, Kendall or either Lauren. If it was Lauren B. And she has the date in Paris, I think she is going to HTDs for sure. Also, Ari didn’t look miserable yesterday, so I am guessing Becca K. is going to HTDs as well. Watch, I’ll be 0-2!! It’s fun to guess.

Thank you for finding that, we still don't know if this was Lauren B's second 1 on 1 date yet. If it is her second 1 on 1 I bet she would make top 4 but if it's only her first I think she will be eliminated in episode 7. I think there is a possibility it could be her 2nd because Reality Steve said that when he was on his date with seinne that it was his 4th 1 on 1 so far. So that means episode 2 should have two 1 on 1 dates because episode 3 had two group dates.

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We know Lauren B was not on the first ID. RS said first girl made it to his hometown for evening portion and a motorcycle ride during the day. IMO, whoever she was ..Arie zoomed in on her at MnG and wanted to share a piece of his personal life. Of course, he could have decided the initial attraction wasnt there. Arie has a soft heart so I'll be very shocked if his first ID was sent home that night. He is a true romantic.

mprssdbyu wrote:We know Lauren B was not on the first ID. RS said first girl made it to his hometown for evening portion and a motorcycle ride during the day. IMO, whoever she was ..Arie zoomed in on her at MnG and wanted to share a piece of his personal life. Of course, he could have decided the initial attraction wasnt there. Arie has a soft heart so I'll be very shocked if his first ID was sent home that night. He is a true romantic.

We don't know who the brunette girl was that got the first 1 on 1 date. Reality Steve said in his column after seinne date was public that she is not the front runner and that a girl has already visited his hometown. He never said it was the girl who got the first 1 on1 of the season he just said that someone who got a 1 on 1 in episode 2 or 3 visited house. I doubt it was the girl from the motorcycle date because they were based in LA the whole time and Reality Steve said he got pictures of the night portion of that date. So whoever got the 1 on 1 that went to his house was the other 1 on 1 in episode 2 or the 1 on 1 in episode 3.

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