Bachelor Australia - Season 5 - Matty Johnson - Media Social Media - *Sleuthing Spoilers* #2

mercieme wrote:@Bobette....pretty please help move the FB live to the SM No Discussion thread...I can't copy over anything FB related anymore...thanks.

@LeapofFaith....yep re how Matty reacted with Tara's name in that interview is suspect IMO....both AAL and I said the same earlier. And since you already sleuthed that the one mostly on lockdown.....we should really keep an eye on her IMO.

Done

I'd love to see Tara as F1 but really after the Sportsbet odds I can't see it being anyone other than Laura now. The odds for the other girls have fluctuated wildly but Laura is solid as a rock and her odds have even firmed since yesterday. I don't think SB have ever been wrong so that, on top of the pics of them together, has pretty much sealed the deal for me. Happy to keep sleuthing along though.

The odds tighten when more folks start betting on the individual....it's the law of supply and demand in operation. DM ran the story and more folks placed bet on the folks noted....jmo. I am still convinced the paps didn't leak the F1 to the media especially with the court injunction out there, who wants to risk a law suit with potential huge payouts....all jmo.

ETA - the SCs have to justify the betting as well IMO. If we don't see evidence with the SCs, Sportsbet information is meaningless at least to me except the producers mount a disinformation campaign via the SCs which they have never done before

mercieme wrote:The odds tighten when more folks start betting on the individual....it's the law of supply and demand in operation. DM ran the story and more folks placed bet on the folks noted....jmo. I am still convinced the paps didn't leak the F1 to the media especially with the court injunction out there, who wants to risk a law suit with potential huge payouts....all jmo.

Yeah but historically they always seem to know.  IMO they probably pay off an insider - one of the cameramen, catering staff, travel agents - it could be any number of people really.  Anyway TWT and I would love to be proven completely wrong if Laura or Tara win.

@Bobette.....anything is possible. I just believe in sleuthing leading the way to the F1. On another note, I read that contestant "Callan" was the one that Sportsbet had with the best odds of winning at the beginning of the season for the recently completed MasterChef and we know it wasn't him that won...so who knows if Network Ten is paying folks off as well since Osher said in an interview that they use financial incentives to discourage leaks.

So thoughts on the FB live, they didn't give anything away about any of the girls unlike Richie's season when they tried to mis-direct with Olena IMO. Also glad Matty confirmed what we were saying about how Osher genuinely cares about folks. I find Matty's answer about going to the moon if money was not an object to be interesting; wonder which of the speculated F4 would be into that

The one thing that could be helpful is that Matty said he will be watching the premier episode with some of the guys on GL's season based in Melbourne so I expect Courtney and Lee to be there....wonder if those guys could pick out his F1 just based on being around Matty and watching his reaction; hope they post an IG story for us to analyze

mercieme wrote:@Bobette.....anything is possible. I just believe in sleuthing leading the way to the F1. On another note, I read that contestant "Callan" was the one that Sportsbet had with the best odds of winning at the beginning of the season for the recently completed MasterChef and we know it wasn't him that won...so who knows if Network Ten is paying folks off as well since Osher said in an interview that they use financial incentives to discourage leaks.

Difference being @mercieme that Masterchef was filmed practically live (within a day or two I think) so the winner would have been unknown at the beginning of the season - with Bachelor, it's done and dusted already. AFAIK that's why there was that legal challenge about the ethics of taking bets on it when there would undeniably be people who know the winner. I'm amazed it has been allowed to continue. What would stop one of the hotel workers telling a friend of a friend and then that person could put a massive bet on the winner and clean up? That's why IMO the Bach odds are more likely to be right on the money - literally!

I realize the difference in timeline but it's still another show that folks bet on. It's just another way to get the public invested in the show is my opinion of why they allow the betting to continue. For now I choose to believe that Network ten is aware of the sources of the leaks; at least we have posters here that have heard via the airline lady in the past and so far nothing yet and If no leaks from her this year; then I am more inclined to believe that they have taken more steps to prevent leaks. I will also be watching out for what the stylist posts on SM as I am convinced that the producers are reading this forum and know that we have speculated the F1 based off what Anne the stylist has let on in the past and that DM will run with the story.

As I have said before, the major thing is that in the past even with Sports Bet information, we were able to corrobate via sleuthing, so far we haven't done that and when we do and if it's Laura, all well and good IMO.

I see your point @mercieme but I'm going to agree to disagree on this one.

I think Sportsbet know the winner.  I'll leave it at that.  What I thought was very interesting though was when Matty was doing that radio interview posted above and he was asked if it was weird that there was a Melbourne-cup sweepstakes poster for his lovelife and he said something like "yeah, and people are betting on it and everything".

It almost seemed like a product placement ad for Sportsbet...

Does anyone have that sweepstake poster at all. I noticed in that 102.9 video interview that when Matt first looked at the poster (prior to anyone asking any questions about the girls) that his eyes were fixed on the left hand side middle row section. Just wondering which girls are pictured in that section? Thx

Sundy wrote:Does anyone have that sweepstake poster at all. I noticed in that 102.9 video interview that when Matt first looked at the poster (prior to anyone asking any questions about the girls) that his eyes were fixed on the left hand side middle row section. Just wondering which girls are pictured in that section?  Thx

i went and bought $10 worth of mags the other day and i did happen to buy the Woman's Day one with that sweepstake....so the girls on the left hand side middle of any significance imo are Elora and Lisa..... Laura, Elise and Tara are on the right hand side same last line.... Also in the WD mag article the big pics are of Elora,cobie (front page with matty) and,Akoulina, lauraann and Laura (on next page). the other girls are tiny pics.

Sundy wrote:Does anyone have that sweepstake poster at all. I noticed in that 102.9 video interview that when Matt first looked at the poster (prior to anyone asking any questions about the girls) that his eyes were fixed on the left hand side middle row section. Just wondering which girls are pictured in that section?  Thx

I don't have one but good pickup. This was the best screenshot I could get.



Source

I expect the poster will pop up online sometime soon so we'll be able to have a better look then.

Bobette wrote:

Sundy wrote:Does anyone have that sweepstake poster at all. I noticed in that 102.9 video interview that when Matt first looked at the poster (prior to anyone asking any questions about the girls) that his eyes were fixed on the left hand side middle row section. Just wondering which girls are pictured in that section?  Thx

I don't have one but good pickup.  This was the best screenshot I could get.  



Source

I expect the poster will pop up online sometime soon so we'll be able to have a better look then.

Yep thats the one i have right in front of me

ETA

Girls Left to right
Top row are Akoulina,Alix,Belinda,Cobie,Elise
2nd row Elizabeth,elora,florence,jennifer,laura
3rd row lauraann, leah,lisa,michelle,monica
4throw natalie,sharlene,sian,simone
last row stacey,stephanie, tara.