The Bachelorette 11 - Kaitlyn Bristowe - F4 - *Sleuthing Spoilers*

nutty1 wrote:So there is a good chance the F3 are Ben, Shawn and perhaps Nick? Because I do believe there are only 3 HTD's this season.

I think that's very possible. That also would've given them the opportunity to wrap up the HTD filming in less time than usual, since they're all from fairly close to each other. Not necessary to have travel days in between.

mindless wrote:

nutty1 wrote:So there is a good chance the F3 are Ben, Shawn and perhaps Nick? Because I do believe there are only 3 HTD's this season.

I think that's very possible. That also would've given them the opportunity to wrap up the HTD filming in less time than usual, since they're all from fairly close to each other. Not necessary to have travel days in between.

ITA that they could wrap up filming for the HTDs close to each other in less time than usual. we have yet to get proof that HTDs are for F3 at this point but the week we're in -- Week 9 is typically FD week and so if we follow the trend of them being in Ireland for a 3rd week last week then it follows that there was an RC F4->F3 during the last week in Ireland

Dublin week 
F(8??) >>F6

2nd week in Ireland 
F6>>F4

3rd week
F4>>F3

this week/HTDs
F3>>F2

Emusha, IMO your breakdown is possibly correct.  It would seem weird in any other season but this season I'd give it  80:40 odds.

I want to know whats up with Jared? Does anyone know if he is in or out of the game? I am really interested in him for some reason.

I would have loved for Jared to go far! he seems adorable just something about a calmness you sense from watching him...

I do think though that he prolly didn't make it the twitter and other buzz (spoilers and speculation based on some educated guesses on these boards point to an F3 for HTDs):

shawn
nick
ben

I actually think if this is the F3 then it's really between shawn and nick at this point... shawn has given off a lot of signals (including someone who tweeted that it was his HTD and even if he doesn't get F1 he'll be the bach) that he's been seriously groomed as TB next season... 

the reason I don't think Ben is F1 material is -- I don't think he meshes with Kaitlyn's irreverent humor as much as maybe other people... I think he is possibly too religious for that...

I actually would have thought Chris Stan & Jared would have been very strong contenders for K's heart if they were in F3 but alas this is where the signs are pointing and that imho very strongly is F2:

Shawn
Nick

and possibly depending on how into K Shawn ends up being and vice versa i.e. would she make him forgo the bach opportunity which he seems to be bragging about during his HTD enough for people to tweet about it in casual twitter convo...

if this is indeed the F3 then I'll say F1 is 
Nick

I'd see it very diff if Jared was in the mix and maybe less so if it was Chris Stan who simply due to him also being a great TB contender

carnegiesmith2014 wrote:He has been eliminated per his Instagram activity, yesterday he had 74 pictures and now only has around 60 something.

^^ This was posted on the 22nd of april and is in Chris Strandburgs thread. Which is in line with with a day or two after when the pre-HTD rose ceremony could have taken place. Therefore going on this information, we could assume he did not make it to hometowns but instead the F5/6?

Joe as per the retweet from a restaurant (can't remember exactly if it was a restaurant) acknowleging his hometown as well as when he surfaced back on SM indicates he made the F4 but was eliminated at the F4 rose ceremony.


Therefore we are left with the final 4 being definitely shawn (on assumption by everyone and no SM presence), joe (SM clues) and ben (posters who know him on here) and then either Nick or Jared (one of whom has no SM presence in general and one whose SM presence is very confusing at this point)


And then F3 being Shawn, Ben, Jared/Nick


What does everyone think of this breakdown?

It sounds accurate, IF there were 4 HTD's. If not, then I don't know what to make of anything!!

It seems we are now getting a lot of sm activity from Nick and Joe.  Could all six have been sequestered and now that they are down to 3/2, they are released?

The difference is Nick's has been fairly consistent throughout this process.

Serendipity said there was talk in Warsaw about Ben being in the F3. Maybe they really did have 4 HTD but Ben was already made aware he was moving forward. I'm surprised Joe made F4 over Chris.

yes indeed serendipity has said F3 for ben so either the F3 are:

Joe 
Ben
Shawn/Jared/Nick

or 

Joe was sequestered for a week after Ireland

Chris has not surfaced yet so I would not rule him out, IMO.  Chris is not active on SM compared to Joe and Nick.  He eliminated posts only and may not have done that himself.  With regard to the HTD tweet to Joe, I believe that was a joke since there seems to be a lack of fine dining in his hometown.

My belief is that Shawn, Ben and Chris are in the F4.  Not sure on the 4th, but probably Nick over Joe.

JMO.