Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
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Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
It does doesn't it? Replying on the SM thread with screencap...Agent99 wrote:Hmm that is interesting. Victorian and 26-28. Sounds like Taite.
Bobette- Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3
Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
As far as I can tell, the max bet for premiere viewers is $100 for the 801,000 to 900,000 option. The maximum bet for the age of the winner is $50 for the 26 - 28 age range. The maximum bet for the state of origin of the winner is $42 for Victoria. This is all assuming I'm reading things correctly.
CatLover- Posts : 7
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Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
Thanks very much @CatLover - that's helpful indeed
It's possible SB may have skewed the odds and max bets so the max loss works out to be roughly the same, the way they did with Nick's season. The numbers for Nick's girls preseason were:
The could be doing the same here (even though I assume there actually WILL be a winner this time. Things will very quickly come into focus when the individual guys get named IMO.
It's possible SB may have skewed the odds and max bets so the max loss works out to be roughly the same, the way they did with Nick's season. The numbers for Nick's girls preseason were:
Age
31-35 @$3.00 and max bet of $50.00 = total profit of $100.00
25-30 @ $2.00 and max bet of $100.00 = total profit of $100.00
Less than 25 $4.00 and max bet of $33.00 = total profit of $99.00
State
QLD @ $4.50 and max bet of $29.00 = total profit of $101.50
Vic @ $3.50 and a max bet of $40.00 = total profit of $100.00
NSW @ $2.50 and max bet of $67.00 = total profit of $100.50
SA @ $7.00 and max bet of $17.00 = total profit of $102.00
WA @ $8.00 and max bet of $14.00 = total profit of $98.00
The could be doing the same here (even though I assume there actually WILL be a winner this time. Things will very quickly come into focus when the individual guys get named IMO.
Bobette- Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3
Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
I'm surprised we don't know more names yet, with the season only 5 days away from starting. Is it usual practice to only name the guys a day or two out from the premiere or something?
CatLover- Posts : 7
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Age : 50
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Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
Bobette wrote:Thanks very much @CatLover - that's helpful indeed
It's possible SB may have skewed the odds and max bets so the max loss works out to be roughly the same, the way they did with Nick's season. The numbers for Nick's girls preseason were:Age
31-35 @$3.00 and max bet of $50.00 = total profit of $100.00
25-30 @ $2.00 and max bet of $100.00 = total profit of $100.00
Less than 25 $4.00 and max bet of $33.00 = total profit of $99.00
26-28 @ $2.00 and max bet of $50.00 = total profit of $50.00
29-32 @ $3.00 and max bet of $25.00 = total profit of $50.00
33-35 @ $7.50 and max bet of $8.00 = total profit of $52.50
36-40 @ $10.00 and max bet of $6.00 = total profit of $54.00
State
QLD @ $7.50 and max bet of $8.00 = total profit of $52.00
Vic @ $2.20 and a max bet of $42.00 = total profit of $50.40
NSW @ $2.75 and max bet of $29.00 = total profit of $50.70
SA @ $12.00 and max bet of $5.00 = total profit of $55.00
WA @ $10.00 max bet of $6.00 = total profit of $54.00
The could be doing the same here (even though I assume there actually WILL be a winner this time. Things will very quickly come into focus when the individual guys get named IMO.
Adding some and changing some as at 9.40pm
Sundy- Posts : 5893
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Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
Agent99 wrote:Hmm that is interesting. Victorian and 26-28. Sounds like Taite.
Agree! When he was sleuthed I posted Taite sounds perfect for Ali - they could workout together bodybuilding lifestyle He has the other typical pattern stats too for promo and preview being seen in that so could be!
AllAboutLove- Posts : 30010
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Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
Sundy wrote:
Age
26-28 @ $2.00 and max bet of $50.00 = total profit of $50.00
29-32 @ $3.00 and max bet of $25.00 = total profit of $50.00
33-35 @ $7.50 and max bet of $8.00 = total profit of $52.50
36-40 @ $10.00 and max bet of $6.00 = total profit of $54.00
State
QLD @ $7.50 and max bet of $8.00 = total profit of $52.00
Vic @ $2.20 and a max bet of $42.00 = total profit of $50.40
NSW @ $2.75 and max bet of $29.00 = total profit of $50.70
SA @ $12.00 and max bet of $5.00 = total profit of $55.00
WA @ $10.00 max bet of $6.00 = total profit of $54.00
Adding some and changing some as at 9.40pm
Thanks so much @Sundy.
Exactly as I suspected - there's barely any difference to the payout figure when max bets come into play.
So no clear favourite at this stage from Sportsbet's POV. My eye's still on Taite though for other reasons
Adding the scaps for comparison later:
Source
Bobette- Posts : 17059
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Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
The market for age has now been removed from the SB website.
Bobette- Posts : 17059
Join date : 2016-10-10
Location : Australia <3
Sundy- Posts : 5893
Join date : 2014-09-29
Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
Oh. Thanks
I thought perhaps they'd realised the narrow age brackets were going to be too much of a spoiler but apparently they don't care.
I thought perhaps they'd realised the narrow age brackets were going to be too much of a spoiler but apparently they don't care.
Bobette- Posts : 17059
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Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
@Bobette how old is Ali. In actual years, not maturity years
Sundy- Posts : 5893
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Re: Bachelorette Australia - Season 4 - Ali Oetjen - Betting Odds - *Sleuthing Spoilers*
Sundy wrote:@Bobette how old is Ali. In actual years, not maturity years
I think she's 32 - will check...
ETA: Yup. 32.
When she appeared on The Bachelor in 2013, Ali was a 27 year old from South Australia who worked as a real estate agent.
Source
For the record, I don't buy this whole read-to-settle-down-and-have-babies storyline. Considering she's supposedly a "healthy lifestyle motivator" there seem to be a LOT of stories about her liking a drink or 20. I think a young guy would suit her just fine.
Bobette- Posts : 17059
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